Inicio Foros ¿Cómo es la vida de un inmigrante en Estados Unidos? Sali sorteado en la loteria de visas para USA

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  • #501278
    Cristinita
    Miembro

    Buenos dias. Para quienes necesiten prueba de PPD en Maracaibo, en el hospital central hay el reactivo para realizarlo pero se necesitan 13 pacientes para poder abrir el frasquito. Yo estoy esperando para hacerselo a mi hija. Espero sirva la informacion para algunos y se reunan los pacientes necesarios, mi cita medica es el 15 de enero y estoy sobre tiempo.
    Feliz dia!

    #501373
    RafaCCS
    Miembro

    Hola buenas tardes, alguien me puede indicar como ingresar exactamente en ustravel.docs.com/ve ??? no logro ingresar, gracias.

    #501384
    Alejo
    Miembro

    Que tal amigos, el 21 de diciembre me llego el correo con el link para verificar la fecha de la cita en la embajada, logre meterme con el numero de confirmación de la planilla inicial para la inscripción en la lotería luego de saber la fecha que me dieron para los primeros dias de Febrero, Corrí a meterme en la pagina de la clínica para solicitar la cita en el medico, la solicite y hoy recibí respuesta me dieron cita en el medico para la semana que viene, en el correo que recibí con la confirmación de la cita en el medico el precio dice 1.850.000 bs por persona de 15 años o mayor. también dice que no tienen todas las vacunas, que las que tienen pueden valer bs. o dolares.

    #501387
    Alejo
    Miembro

    Lo anterior es en el caso del centro de medicina preventiva santa fe.

    #501402
    Yoyoyo
    Miembro

    Buenos días gente un muy buen feliz año para todos y que el próximo lo podamos celebrar en USA. El motivo de este post es que Mr. Brit Simon del foro http://www.britsimonsays.com junto a otro forista que imagino es programador diseñaron una herramienta para poder extraer los datos del ceac de manera mucho mas rápida. La herramienta consiste en resolver los captchas y de manera directa le van arrojando datos importantes como visas aprobadas visas negadas AP holes y todos estos datos juntos van a dar de manera más precisa los safe numbers la herramienta lleva funcionando desde el 1 de enero y ya ha arrojado varios datos importantes que voy a poner a continuación:

    Les recuerdo nuestro grupo de Facebook green card venezuela ahí también está toda la información

    #501404
    Yoyoyo
    Miembro

    1.- la herramienta: aqui verán la explicación y los 2 link el 1ero para verificar su número de caso ante el ceac y al final del post dice que significa cada resultado: at NVC ready issued denied y otras más.

    El 2do link es la herramienta aquí van a hacer login y empezar a resolver los captchas entre más captchas mejor. Eso está abierto las 24 horas y calcule un promedio de 100 captchas en 15 minutos no hace falta hacer 100. Se pueden hacer 10 20 50 75 200. Cualquier ayuda es buena. Hay que resolver en total de 116mil captchas que es un captcha por cada número de caso

    http://britsimonsays.com/dv2018-ceac-data-help-needed/

    DV2018 CEAC data help needed

    As expected the 2018 data is now available in CEAC. You can check your own case number at this link, by removing the leading zeros from your case number. So 2018AF000012345 would be entered as 2018AF12345. Please read at the bottom of this article to know what the status codes mean.

    OK As many of you will know, the CEAC system is where anyone can check the current status of specific case numbers. We now need to work together to gather the CEAC data which will keep us informed of progress to date including how many visas have been approved already, denials AP and so on. Using that data we can get a more accurate prediction of month to month VB progress and we can try and predict the final cutoff ranges with better accuracy.

    So – as explained before we need the DV community help to solve captchas. Every captcha solved gets us one more case. Initially, it will take a great effort from many people to solve the captchas, but as we continue over the coming months we will not need to recheck approved or denied cases, so the work will get easier.

    This is made easy when lots of people help. So – please get involved and share the work. Give a few minutes every day to solve some more captchas and with that information we will all benefit from better understanding.

    This is all made possible by a very smart 2018 DV winner, Xarthisius. He has created the software that facilitates the captcha solving, CEAC scraping and has even produced some really useful tools to allow people to analyze the data. You can take a look at the 2017 data to understand what we will be able to see.

    So – to help get the data please login at this site:

    https://dvcharts.xarthisius.xyz/login.html

     

    The charts and analysis tools are available here:

    https://dvcharts.xarthisius.xyz/

    Looking at the data from 2017 shows the issued visas per region as well as denials, AP and holes. All essential to understand the VB progress and final cutoffs.

    Let’s go and get the data!!!

     

    So what do the status codes mean.

    The first status for every case is “AT NVC”. You can ignore the text on the case – the case has not been passed to NVC.  What this status means is that the case is in one of the following situations.

    The case is not yet current.The case is current, BUT the DS260 has not be submitted at all, or it was submitted but not processed yet – and therefore not scheduled.The case is current, the form is processed, but it is waiting to be scheduled (typically because the cases have not yet been sent to the embassies yet).

    “In Transit”

    This status is shown for a brief period when KCC has scheduled the interview, and transferred the case to the embassy. However, the embassy has not yet updated CEAC to acknowledge they have received the case.

    “READY”

    This is the next status after in transit. It means the case has arrived at the embassy for interview. Sometimes a case will continue to show ready even after the interview.

    “Issued”

    Pretty obviously – this is the status we all want to see! The interview took place, was successful and the visa has been approved/issued.

    “Refused”

    This is the status no one wants to see, meaning the interview took place and the selectee was denied. A derivative can be refused, while the principal is approved. However, if the principal is refused – all the derivatives are refused also – even if the embassy fails to update CEAC.

    “Administrative Processing”

    This is when someone did not have all the documents at the interview OR some additional checks are needed before the case can be adjudicated. AP can last a few days or several months. The status updates during that time are meaningless.

    Derivative number.

    For cases that are scheduled we can see the related derivative numbers. Case 01 is the principal and derivatives are case 02, 03 and so on.

    #501406
    bernarda
    Miembro

    Buenos dias, por favor si me pueden orientar con las siguientes dudas.

    Mi esposo salió preseleccionado en los ganadores del 2018, y ya completamos la aplicacion ds260 los primeros días de noviembre , sin embargo no se que tiempo tardan aproximadamente en enviarnos el correo para la cita en la embajada

    También quisiera saber si cuando completaron la ds260 enviaron foto o solo la enviaron cuando entraron en el sorteo.

    Gracias por la orientación y suerte a todos los preseleccionados.

    #501407
    Yoyoyo
    Miembro

    2. Actualización del proceso: aqui ya salen los 1eros resultados

    http://britsimonsays.com/2018-ceac-data-scraping-update/

    2018 CEAC data scraping update

    First of all I want to say Happy New Year to all of you. I wish you health and happiness and I hope this year is the year your dreams come true.

    As I announced in this earlier post, the CEAC data because available at midnight on January 1st. It is really important that as many people as possible take a few minutes a day to solve some CAPTCHAS to help scrape the CEAC data. Over 4000 people have looked at my announcement, and nearly 300 people have tried out the system to solve at least 1 CAPTCHA. BUT we need more people to share the workload! Right now members Simba, Abdikarim, Guyanese_Spice, ¥εηƴ have each solved over 2000 CAPTCHAS each – BIG thank you to them! I know solving CAPTCHAS is harder on some phones, so some won’t be able to help much, but I do think we can make the scraping go faster and easier if we can share the workload among more readers!

    A BIG thank you to those members that have already solved some CAPTCHAS. One member was smart enough to mention how many CAPTCHAS he had solved when he asked a question this morning, and I was especially careful to give him a full and detailed answer to his question. Those who put effort in for the community as a whole can rightfully expect my full attention!

    Now then – some people might now know why this data is important. So – let me explain what it is, how much data we have so far and what we can figure out with the data.

    CEAC is a database that contains the status of every case for DV lottery. The earlier aticle explained how you can check the status of your own case. It only gives high level status. It cannot tell you whether your DS260 is processed, it cannot tell you when your AP will finish, it cannot tell you your actual interview date. It is just a high level status. It shows the status of the case (waiting to be scheduled, ready for interview, issued, refused, AP etc). Once the case is scheduled, it tells us the embassy the case is assigned to and the number of derivatives on each case. We can also figure out the holes, which is what we refer to as density (how many cases are missing from each 100 case numbers). Density decreases in AF, EU and AS regions, which is why VB progress can accelerate later in the year. Being able to predict that density drop is helpful to predict VB progress.  So – it is very useful data.

    So far we have solved about 35000 CAPTCHAS, (each captcha allowing us to check one case number). Xarthisius setup the software to go after the current case ranges first and then go back and find the rest of the case numbers, right up to the highest case number in each region. Right now the scraper has already got all the cases that have been scheduled up to the latest VB – so 14300 for AF region, 10700 for EU and so on. That has allowed me to total the totals for each region which I will show below. Currently the system is going after the higher case numbers in each region. We probably have around 65000 more numbers to check. Once we have checked ALL the case numbers we will then be able to see the density changes throughout the whole number range and perform some extensive analysis. However, some interesting details are already being revealed. More on that later in this article.

    So – Here are the current totals as shown by the data.

    Please note that because of the way CEAC is updated by the embassy, there are some cases where AP, REFUSED and READY numbers are not accurate. For instance. If a principal selectee is refused, the derivatives on that case CANNOT be approved. However, some derivatives might remain in READY or AP status because the embassy doesn’t mark all derivatives as refused. I have a way to calculate those cases but for now, these numbers are a good enough representation to show the progress.  However, the embassies seem to be more diligent with Issued status – so that number is more reliable. We can see that nearly 9000 visas have been issued so far – that being after 3 months of interviews. Bear in mind that many of the AP cases will be successful so we will see that issued number rising faster in later months. That is normal.

     

    Now – I also mentioned there was an interesting finding in the data so far. This concerns EU region. As of now I can only see EU numbers up to about 12000. But there is a very obvious drop in density that happened just after 10700. That means at least one of the countries (probably Uzbekistan or Ukraine) met the selection limit by that point. In other words for that country (and I don’t know which one it is) ALL their cases were given case numbers of below 10700. Each of those two countries had nearly 4500 selectees (including derivatives) so that means one of those countries took about 2800 to 3000 cases in the first 10700 case numbers. To understand why that happens please read my old post that explains the draw process.

    Now, what does this mean for VB progress. Well, in a post I wrote a couple of months ago (actually written on October 12) I explained how VB progress happens in some detail, using EU as an example. At that time I mentioned we would see increases of about 2500 per month for EU until March or April. In fact, the reduced density will mean we will start to see slightly faster VB progress. Probably about 3500 for the next VB for EU. I had predicted we would see about 16000 by April interviews, and in fact we should be nicely above that by April. These are rough estimates, not accurate predictions, but once I start seeing more complete data I will be able to refine the guesses. I cannot do the same for other regions yet because I need the rest of the data. So please – don’t bother asking me – just get solving CAPTCHAS!! 

    En este link hay un cuadro conlal siguiente info (voy a poner solo SA)

    Visas entregadas 230

    AP 30

    Ready 342

    Negadas 12

    In tránsito 1

    Transfer 0

    #501408
    Yoyoyo
    Miembro

    @bernarda cómo estás? La cita es por número de caso. Cual es el tuyo? (Cuando lo escribas pon ejm 13xx. Que no se vean los 2 últimos digitos ) hasta febrero van a entrevistar hasta el número 625

    #501409
    Yoyoyo
    Miembro

    Más información sobre los captchas

    in response to Strong:

    Hi brits. I managed to place 5th on the Captcha puzzle this time around. I noticed that the number of captchas left increases and decreases randomly;could there be an error in the software?

    Thanks for your effort. No – it’s not an error. What is happening is that the system is now trying to find the max case numbers so the number left to solve will seem bizarre for a while – but it’s just part of the process to find the max number. In fact we are going to have to check over 110k numbers to find all the real cases, but we only need to get that full range at the beginning, and then the checking will get a bit smarter later. There won’t be any need to check a number we know to be a hole, for instance. The 100k comes from the max numbers in each region. We know AF is about 53k, EU is in the low 40k range, AS about 13k, OC and SA are about 2500 each. So – that is the 110k. But of that 110k only 30k were current, and MANY of those 110k will be holes. Make sense?

    #501493
    bernarda
    Miembro

    Gracias yoyoyo. Nuestro caso es termina en 16xx. Ya estuve revisando y según van por el 625 en la región de Sudamérica.

    #501497
    Yoyoyo
    Miembro

    Yo también soy el 16xx.

    Te recomiendo 2 cosas
    1. Leer este foro desde la página 50 es largo tedioso pero vas a saber todo lo que se necesita para este proceso
    2. Tenemos un grupo de Facebook que se llama greencard venezuela únete ya somos más de 200 integrantes y ahí nos ayudamos entre todos.

    #501525
    Alejo
    Miembro

    Una pregunta para los que ya han sido aprobados, Cuando se llena la planilla ds-260 pide una dirección en Estados Unidos donde uno va a vivir y también donde se va a recibir la green card, la pregunta seria si esa dirección ya no va a ser a donde uno va a llegar hay que cambiarla por lo menos en la planilla de la cita en el medico pide ciudad y estado donde piensa vivir en Estados Unidos. Entonces mi duda es influye que coloque otro estado en la planilla del medico?? y si en la entrevista o cuando se entra a EE.UU. piden verificar la dirección o algo? habría problema en no llegar a la dirección que se puso originalmente en la ds-260?? Muchas Gracias de antemano.

    #501574
    jomifumo
    Miembro

    Hola @alejo puedes poner la dirección inicial que pusiste en la planilla ds-260 para la planilla de la cita medica, en todo caso cuando te aprueben la visa, cuando entres a USA te preguntaran en inmigración a donde irás, allí puedes modificar la dirección en la cual recibiras la green card y el social security number en caso de que vayas a llegar a otro lugar.

    #501601
    Alejo
    Miembro

    Gracias @jomifumo.

Viendo 15 entradas - de la 3,301 a la 3,315 (de un total de 3,770)
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